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Time series & operations

Forecasting & anomaly detection

From sensor streams and operational data to early warnings and honest forecasts.

First working version in 6–10 weeks

The problem

Time-series projects fail quietly: models that look great in backtests and fall apart live, anomaly detectors that cry wolf, forecasts nobody dares use. The failure is almost always methodological — leakage, overfitting, evaluation that flatters.

Doing this honestly requires statistical discipline as much as machine learning: knowing what is predictable, what isn't, and proving which is which.

Our approach

01

Signal audit

We analyze your data's actual predictive content before promising anything — sometimes the honest answer is that a simpler statistical baseline wins.

02

Leak-proof evaluation design

Walk-forward validation, realistic baselines, and metrics tied to the decision the forecast supports.

03

Model development

From classical statistics to deep learning — chosen by evidence on your data, not fashion.

04

Anomaly detection with triage

Alerts ranked by severity and confidence, tuned to a false-positive rate your team will tolerate.

05

Production pipeline

Live data ingestion, monitoring for drift, and retraining strategy — engineered as software, not a notebook.

Reference architecture

  • Data ingestion from sensors, databases, or market feeds
  • Feature and signal-processing pipeline
  • Forecasting and anomaly models with drift monitoring
  • Backtesting and evaluation harness
  • Alerting, dashboards, and API access

What you get

  • An honest assessment of what your data can and cannot predict
  • Models evaluated with leak-proof, walk-forward methodology
  • A production pipeline, not a research notebook
  • Monitoring that tells you when the model stops working

Proof. We have built research-to-production signal platforms for quantitative trading — the most adversarial forecasting environment there is — and bring that evaluation discipline to industrial data.

Find out what your data can actually predict.

A 30-minute call is enough to tell you whether this is feasible on your data.